AD Code

Thursday 17 April 2014

Nifty - 17 Apr 2014 - Downturn to continue

After 8EMA, Nifty now closes below 13EMA. Is 21EMA next below 6650 today?

As discussed yesterday, the Nifty, which was sniffing at a breakdown, tried to remain afloat, but crumbled under pressure in the later half of the trading session. The Nifty opened with a negative gap down of 6 points at 6727 and attempted a move on the upside right at the start of the session, remaining above 6720 and making a high of 6749. However, in the afternoon session, the Nifty breached the levels of 6700 and even our identified support zone of 6690. The Nifty again tried a recovery from 6675 to 6705 (during which we got our 20 points) but this attempt got thwarted and the Nifty made a new low at 6665 before closing at 6675.

1) The Elder Ray readings : Bull Power reduces from +109 to +48 Bear Power rises from +7 to -35 indicating that the Bears have now regained their territory and that Both the Bull and the Bears are now almost equidistant. For today, the Bulls need to overcome the levels of 6755 to maintain their upwards momentum whereas the Bears need to breach the levels of 6660 to maintain their downwards momentum.

2) The stochastics are in the neutral zone now and are pointing downwards.

3) The Nifty has now closed below its 8EMA and 13EMA. However, it has closed above its 21EMA and also above all its key DMAs.

 



4) In the above chart, the volumes have remained stagnant with the fall in the Nifty indicating that the fall may continue a bit. The MACD has now generated a Sell signal by pointing downwards and the histogram is now growing in the negative. The ADX has also signaled a Sell with the Bearish momentum moving above the Bullish momentum. The Parabolic SAR has also turned into a Sell signal with the initial SL placed at 6819.

5) Considering the above, our trading plan for the day is as under.

a) Around 6715 we will open fresh short positions with a SL of 6735 and a target of 6640. We will add to these short positions only below 6615.

b) Around 6635 we will open fresh long positions with a SL of 6615 and a target of 6705. We will add to these long positions only above 6735.

Happy Trading !!! 

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2 comments:

  1. Trading plan(a) has triggered. Opened fresh short position at 6715 with SL of 6735

    ReplyDelete
  2. SL hit at 6735 booked out with 20 points loss

    ReplyDelete

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