AD Code

Friday 23 March 2012

Nifty - 23 Mar 2012 - Volatility to rise

As the volumes and the trading range broadens, expect volatility to rise now.

As discussed yesterday, the Bullish undertone, prevailed only for a few hours in the morning. However, when the Bulls were not able to breach 5390 and maintain their winning streak, the Bears took over and when 5335 got broken, the Bears swiftly took out 5245 and closed below 5230. Today, the Nifty is likely to open flattish, and then a bout of volatility could unleash, as both the Bulls and the Bears fight it out to gain control.

1) The Elder Ray readings : Bull Power increases from +32 to +62 Bear Power also increases from -84 to -118, indicating that the Bulls are still very much in the picture and cannot be counted out as yet, however the Bears are getting a bit stronger. For today, the Bears need to breach 5190 to maintain their momentum and the Bulls have a target of 5375. This wide ranged targets make us believe, that the volatility could be huge.

2) The Nifty is trading right between its key EMAs and its key DMAs making it vulnerable to get stretched in any direction. However, yesterday it has closed below its 50DMA after about 2 months, making it susceptible to continue downwards.

3) The stochastics are still in the neutral zone with the fast stochastics pointing downwards whereas the slow stochastics is lying flat.



4) In the above chart, the volumes have just slightly increased in yesterday's fall. The MACD continues to fall, but is still in the positive. The ADX is suggesting that a new trend could emerge soon. The Parabolic SAR continues with its sell signal.

5) Considering the above, our trading plan for the day is as under.

a) Around 5195, we will open fresh long positions with a SL of 5165 and a target of 5275. We will add to these long positions above 5290.

b) Around 5275, we will open fresh short positions with a SL of 5290 and a target of 5200. We will add to these short positions below 5160.

Happy Trading !!! 

For cash market recommendations see our Daily Pre Market calls on NSE

No comments:

Post a Comment

Please add your comments here. Comments will be moderated.

Disclaimer : We express our opinions on this blog primarily as a method of record keeping, i.e. archiving what was our opinion about the markets on any given particular day end. As such, trading in derivatives can be extremely dangerous to you and your finances. We strongly advice you to consult your financial advisor before trading based on the opinions published on this blog. We shall not be held responsible, under any circumstances, for any financial loss or profit, that may be accrued due to your trades being affected by our opinions.