AD Code

Monday 5 March 2012

Nifty - 05 Mar 2012 - Big move round the corner

After 5 days of consolidation, a big move expected any time now.

As discussed on Saturday, the Nifty kept on searching for direction, and moved in a narrow range of about 10 points. Today, given the global cues, the Nifty is likely to open flat with a slightly negative bias. It will be interesting to see which way the tide turns today.

1) The Elder Ray readings : Bull Power is at -17 and Bear Power is at -34 indicating that the Bears have a slight advantage over the next move.

2) The Nifty is trading below its key EMAs but is above its key DMAs, indicating a short term downtrend within a larger uptrend.

3) The stochastics are hovering just above the oversold zone, indicating that there is small room for a downfall.



4) In the above chart, the MACD is in the positive and is falling, indicating a short term downtrend ahead. The ADX is also indicating that a big sustainable move is round the corner, but is mute on the direction. The Parabolic SAR is also indicating a downward movement for the Nifty.

5) Considering the above, our trading plan for the day is as under

a) Around 5400, we will open fresh short positions with a SL of 5420 and a target of 5310. We will add to these short positions below 5290.

b) Around 5300, we will open fresh long positions with a SL of 5290 and a target of 5355. We will add to these long positions only above 5425.

Happy Trading !!! 

For cash market recommendations see our Daily Pre Market calls on NSE

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