Bears open the Nifty below par and then take a breather. Bulls have their chance now.
Our yesterday's post "Short it. Forget it." assumed that the Bears would stamp down on the Nifty and press their foot on the accelerator. However, the Bears chose otherwise. They opened the Nifty with a whopping negative gap down of 61 points at 5353 and kept on selling in the first hour of trade itself to make a low of 5306 and then they took a breather. Short covering emerged and the Nifty slowly and steadily recovered from the day's lows to not only breach the day's high at 5353 but also to attempt to break out in the green. The Nifty then closed at 5401 after making a high of 5418. We took two trades and booked a profit of 42-18=24 points in total.
Summary : The Bears have only lifted their foot from the accelerator. They are still in the driver's seat and may be waiting for the kill at higher levels. On the other hand, the Bulls have a golden chance to attempt a reversal.
1) The Elder Ray readings : Bull Power reduces from -140 to -188 Bear Power rises from -279 to -299, indicating that the Bears are in full control on the Nifty as of now. For today, the Bulls need to overcome the levels of 5570 to regain their lost grounds whereas the Bears need to breach the levels of 5270 to maintain their downwards momentum.
2) The stochastics are still in the oversold zone.
3) The Nifty continues to close well below all its key EMAs and also below all its key DMAs.
4) In the above chart, the volumes have remained high with the Nifty exhibiting a green candle indicating that the up move may continue for now. The MACD continues to point downwards with the histogram also growing in the negative, indicating that the downtrend has not reversed as yet. The ADX is also suggesting a pause in the bearish momentum, but a loss in the Bullish momentum. The Parabolic SAR continues with its sell signal with the SL now shifted to 5746.
5) Considering the above, our trading plan for the day is as under.
a) Around 5465 we will open fresh short positions with a SL of 5495 and a target of 5350. We will add to these short positions only below 5310.
b) Around 5335 we will open fresh long positions with a SL of 5310 and a target of 5440. We will add to these long positions only above 5495.
Happy Trading !!!
Also visit Just Nifty and the Nifty Range blogs.
For cash market recommendations see our Daily Pre Market calls on NSE
Our yesterday's post "Short it. Forget it." assumed that the Bears would stamp down on the Nifty and press their foot on the accelerator. However, the Bears chose otherwise. They opened the Nifty with a whopping negative gap down of 61 points at 5353 and kept on selling in the first hour of trade itself to make a low of 5306 and then they took a breather. Short covering emerged and the Nifty slowly and steadily recovered from the day's lows to not only breach the day's high at 5353 but also to attempt to break out in the green. The Nifty then closed at 5401 after making a high of 5418. We took two trades and booked a profit of 42-18=24 points in total.
Summary : The Bears have only lifted their foot from the accelerator. They are still in the driver's seat and may be waiting for the kill at higher levels. On the other hand, the Bulls have a golden chance to attempt a reversal.
1) The Elder Ray readings : Bull Power reduces from -140 to -188 Bear Power rises from -279 to -299, indicating that the Bears are in full control on the Nifty as of now. For today, the Bulls need to overcome the levels of 5570 to regain their lost grounds whereas the Bears need to breach the levels of 5270 to maintain their downwards momentum.
2) The stochastics are still in the oversold zone.
3) The Nifty continues to close well below all its key EMAs and also below all its key DMAs.
4) In the above chart, the volumes have remained high with the Nifty exhibiting a green candle indicating that the up move may continue for now. The MACD continues to point downwards with the histogram also growing in the negative, indicating that the downtrend has not reversed as yet. The ADX is also suggesting a pause in the bearish momentum, but a loss in the Bullish momentum. The Parabolic SAR continues with its sell signal with the SL now shifted to 5746.
5) Considering the above, our trading plan for the day is as under.
a) Around 5465 we will open fresh short positions with a SL of 5495 and a target of 5350. We will add to these short positions only below 5310.
b) Around 5335 we will open fresh long positions with a SL of 5310 and a target of 5440. We will add to these long positions only above 5495.
Happy Trading !!!
Also visit Just Nifty and the Nifty Range blogs.
For cash market recommendations see our Daily Pre Market calls on NSE
Opened fresh short positions at 5488 with a SL of 5510 as per trading plan (a)
ReplyDeleteHolding onto intraday shorts as of now.
ReplyDeleteTime to add on to aggressive short positions.
ReplyDeleteAdded further short position at 5445 with a overall SL of 5460
TSL shifted to 5435 now for both short positions (average shorts at 5467)
ReplyDeleteCalm and composed trading strategies, very much appreciated.
ReplyDeleteVijay.
Enjoying the slide !!!
ReplyDeleteGreat going.
Seems we will hit our target of 5350
TSL shifted to 5395 now
ReplyDeleteTarget reached.
ReplyDeleteSquared off short positions at 5355 booking a profit of
5488 - 5355 = 133 points
5445 - 5355 = 90 points
Total = 223 points
Still holding shorts created at 5305 post breach of 5310 as per part(b) of trading plan (a)
ReplyDeleteSquared off shorts at 5275 adding 30 more points to the profits already taken.
ReplyDeleteTotal profit for the day 253 points.